The general market, as represented by the SPX index, has been healthy and steady in recent days. Prices are holding above both horizontal and trendline support, while the number of new NYSE 52-week lows has remained at harmless levels.
Over the past 12 months, around $68 billion was paid out to investors in a select group of companies. I'll prove that these multibillion-dollar annual payments are very real. I’ll show why they are mandated as part of the Internal Revenue Code.
Tuesday will be a $14 billion T-Bill Settlement date, which should add some tighter liquidity conditions into the mix. If overnight funding rates start to rise this week, that would increase pressure on usage of the Fed’s Standing Repo Facility.
Japanese stocks surged to record highs this week, while the yen weakened and bond yields rose on reports that Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi may call snap elections soon. Thus, here is a look at two ETFs in the space to consider.
Markets enter a holiday-shortened week with the Martin Luther King, Jr. Day closure Monday, followed by a convergence of events including President Trump's inauguration speech Wednesday at 8:30am
Over the past couple of months, we’ve noticed a relationship between the Europe/US natural gas spread and the prices of LNG stocks. Specifically, we've looked at the differences between the TTF Dutch benchmark for natural gas and the US Henry Hub.
As Bitcoin volatility continues and AI data-center expansion increases energy demand, miners are evolving beyond Bitcoin production. Investors are watching which companies can scale their infrastructure most profitably. Let's compare two such stocks.
In this video, I provide an Elliott Wave analysis of the Nasdaq 100, discussing the market's position within a long-term third wave that began in 2002.
Charlie Munger learned from an early age that talented people can behave irrationally. He focused on understanding this behavior and avoiding it, leading to his principles of worldly wisdom and investing success.
As the calendar turns to January 18, 2026, millions of Americans are opening their mailboxes and email inboxes to find a new kind of tax document. Following the explosive growth of prediction markets throughout 2025—a year defined by massive volume in election contracts, Fed rate cut forecasts, and climate milestones—the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) is [...]
The meteoric rise of event-based contracts has reached a legislative boiling point. Following a series of high-profile trades that appeared to anticipate classified government actions, Washington has responded with the "Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026." Introduced on January 9, 2026, by Representative Ritchie Torres (D-NY), the bill seeks to bring the [...]
As of January 18, 2026, the world of prediction markets is no longer a niche hobby for economists and crypto-enthusiasts—it is a multi-billion dollar information industry. While real-money giants like Polymarket and Kalshi capture the headlines with massive handles on geopolitical events, a quieter, play-money revolution is happening at Manifold Markets. Despite using a proprietary, [...]
As of mid-January 2026, a fundamental shift has occurred in how Wall Street and Main Street digest economic reality. For decades, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s "Nowcast" and other lagging indicators were the gold standard for tracking the economy in real-time. But as the dust settles on the Federal Reserve's December 2025 meeting, [...]
As we look back from the vantage point of January 2026, the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election is increasingly viewed not just as a political realignment, but as a total disruption of the forecasting industry. For decades, traditional polling was the undisputed king of election intelligence. However, the 2024 cycle saw the emergence of the "Nate [...]
The long-standing wall between artificial intelligence and elite human intuition is beginning to crumble. For years, the "superforecaster"—a subset of humans with extraordinary cognitive flexibility and statistical rigor—was considered the gold standard for predicting global events. However, data from the October 2025 ForecastBench report suggests that the "human edge" is evaporating at an accelerating rate. [...]
As of January 18, 2026, the landscape of American finance is undergoing a seismic shift that few saw coming four years ago. Polymarket, once the "offshore pariah" of the prediction market world, has successfully executed a multi-step regulatory maneuver to return to the United States. Following a period of exile that began with a CFTC [...]
ConocoPhillips stock has a 3.42% dividend yield, well below its 5-year average. As a result, its price target is at least 29% higher at $126.65 based on this yield.
In the span of just ten months, prediction markets have transitioned from a niche obsession of political junkies and crypto-enthusiasts to a cornerstone of the modern retail brokerage experience. As of January 18, 2026, the industry is reeling from a staggering milestone: Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD) has processed over 11 billion contracts through its [...]
The era of "underground" political wagering officially ended not with a whimper, but with a gavel. As we move into the first quarter of 2026, the ripple effects of Kalshi’s landmark legal victory over the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) have transformed the U.S. financial landscape. What began as a niche legal challenge in late [...]
The financial landscape shifted permanently in October 2025 when the Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE), the powerhouse parent of the New York Stock Exchange, announced a staggering $2 billion strategic investment into Polymarket. This move didn't just inject capital; it effectively minted prediction markets as the new "truth engine" of global finance. At the time of [...]
AI's rise continues with demand deepening memory chip shortage and Fed tracking its GDP contribution. Advisors embrace benefits but insist on control and boundaries.
Renowned economist and market commentator Peter Schiff warned in an interview aired Thursday of an impending dollar crisis that could crush Bitcoin’s (CRYPTO:
